Development plan · Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown County Council
Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown County Development Plan 2022–2028 – Written Statement
The council's development plan written statement: its strategy, policies, objectives and development standards. Variations adopted since are not in this text.
Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown County Council · 2022–2028 · 380 pages
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- 2.3.2 Population Projections for the Core Strategy Future population projections for the DLR area are a primary input to the Core Strategy. The adoption of the NPF and the RSES now means that there are statutory national and regional growth strategies which include detailed population targets based on 2016 Census data. The NPF prescribes population growth targets for each Region and City within the State and the RSES further analyses and sets out, in turn, the future population target for each County and City. Calculation of the population target parameters for use in the Core Strategy comprises a three-stage process based upon national and regional provisions and includes: assessment of the RSES County population targets; application of additional ‘headroom’ as prescribed in the ‘Implementation Roadmap for the National Planning Framework’ (2018); and, incorporation of ‘relocated growth’ as provided for under NPO 68 of the NPF. Each of these stages is set out in turn below. 2.3.2.1 Population Projection Calculation (i) Stage 1: RSES Population Targets Appendix B of the RSES includes phased population targets for each Local Authority area in the Eastern and Midlands Region, setting out both a low and high growth scenario up to 2026 and 2031. Table 2.2 below sets out the RSES population targets that pertain to DLR. Table 2.2: CountyLevelPopulationProjection 2016 2026 (Low to High) 2031 (Low to High) Dún Laoghaire- Rathdown 218,000 241,000 – 245,500 250,500 – 257,000 (ii) Stage 2: Application of Additional ‘Headroom’ The Implementation Roadmap for the National Planning Framework recognises that there are parts of the Country where population growth is projected to be at or above the national average baseline for growth. In Counties where population growth is projected to be at or above the national average baseline, the Implementation Roadmap makes provision for headroom, not exceeding 25%, to be considered up to 2026. DLR is specifically identified in the list of Counties where this additional headroom applies. In accordance with the Implementation Roadmap, Table 2.3 sets out the population targets contained in Appendix B of the RSES, adjusted to factor in an additional 25% headroom up to 2026. Population growth between the period 2026 to 2031 remains unchanged save for the requirement to adjust to take account of the 25% additional growth allocated between the period 2016 to 2026. Table 2.3: RSESPopulationProjection IncorporatingAdditional25% ‘Headroom’ 2016 2026 (Low to High) 2031 (Low to High) Dún Laoghaire- Rathdown 218,000 246,750 – 252,375 256,250 – 263,875 (iii) Stage 3: Relocated Growth National Policy Objective 68 of the NPF provides that a Metropolitan Area Strategic Plan (MASP) may enable up to 20% of the phased population growth targeted in the principal city and suburban area, to be accommodated in the wider metropolitan area. The Dublin MASP, as set out in the RSES, further elaborates upon NPO 68 stating that the provision to allow for the transfer to other settlements shall apply only to three Metropolitan ‘Key Towns’, namely Bray, Maynooth and Swords, and only if they can demonstrate compact growth on high capacity planned or existing public transport corridors. In this context it is noted that Old Connaught, which falls within the administrative boundary of DLR, is included in the growth targets for the Key Town of Bray. In accordance with NPO 68, and as approved by the Eastern and Midland Regional Assembly, an additional 3,500 population was allocated to DLR under the 2031 ‘High’ population target scenario of the RSES. Table 2.4 sets out the population targets contained in Appendix B of the RSES adjusted to include both the additional 25% ‘headroom’ provided for in the Implementation Roadmap up to 2026, and also the 3,500 relocated growth in the 2031 ‘High’ scenario, as provided for and agreed by the Regional Assembly under NPO 68. Table 2.4: AdjustedforAdditional‘Headroom’and RelocatedGrowth 2016 2026 (Low to High) 2031 (Low to High) Dún Laoghaire- Rathdown 218,000 246,750 – 252,375 256,250 – 267,375 (iv) Population Projection for the DLR County Development Plan 2022-2028 Table 2.5 details the low and high population projections for DLR for the Plan period 2022-2028. These population projections, which inform the Core Strategy of the County Development Plan, are directly informed by the provisions of the NPF and RSES and are in effect a trickle down from these higher-tier planning policy strategies. In order to take account of the variation between plan timeframes (the County Development Plan covers 23Core StrategyChapter 2
- 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2006-2011 2011-2016 2016-2026 (Low and High) 2026-2031 (Low and High) the period up to 2028 whereas the RSES covers the period up to 2031) the population targets set out in Table 2.5 incorporates 1 ¼ years (25%) of the 2026-2031 population growth timeframe. The residual population growth to 2031 falls outside the County Development Plan period and is therefore not included in calculating population projections for the Core Strategy. 2.3.2.2 Historical Growth Compared to Projected Growth Figure 2.2 below sets out the average annual population growth experienced in DLR over the two most recent intercensal periods, 2006 to 2011 and 2011 to 2016, and compares this to the population growth projections provided for in the statutory national and regional growth strategy and set out in Table 2.4 above. It is evident that there is a variation between historical average annual growth (c. 2,400 persons per annum between 2006 and 2016) and future average annual population (c. 2,900-3,400 between 2016 to 2026 and 1,900- 3,000 between 2026 and 2031). The future high growth scenario between 2016 to 2026 represents an increase of c.43% in average annual population growth compared to historical growth, while the high growth scenario for the period 2026 to 2031 represents a more modest 25% increase. In overall terms, the future low growth scenario comprises a comparatively minor variation to historical trends. 1 25% additional ‘headroom’ applied in both low and high growth scenario up to 2026 only. 2 Additional 3,500 ‘relocated growth’ applied to 2026-2028 population target on a pro-rata basis. Figure 2.2: AverageAnnualPopulationGrowth Average Annual Population Growth 3000 1900 3436 2873 23512445 Table 2.5: DLRCoreStrategy–PopulationProjections 2016 2026 (Low to High) Q1 2028 (Low to High) Total Population Growth 2016 – Q1 2028 Average Annual Pop Growth 2016-2028 Dún Laoghaire- Rathdown 218,000 246,750 – 252,3751 249,125 – 256,125 2 31,125 – 38,125 2,594 – 3,177 24dlrcoco | County Development Plan 2022-2028
- The rationale for the higher levels of future annual population growth between the period 2016 to 2026 is explained in the Implementation Roadmap for the National Planning Framework. The Implementation Roadmap notes that the previous Development Plan Guidelines for Planning Authorities (2007) made provision for Planning Authorities to provide 50% more zoned land than was required to meet demand during the sixyear lifetime of a Development Plan i.e. sufficient land for a further three years. The purpose of this provision was to ensure that sufficient zoned residential land was available throughout the lifetime of the Development Plan, and beyond, to meet anticipated needs and allow for an element of choice in the market. In a move away from this methodological approach, the Implementation Roadmap states that the provision of the additional 50% growth is already accounted for in the national population targets to 2026, and by extension the population targets included in the RSES. Thus, while the future annual population growth figures set out in Figure 2.2 above might appear somewhat high in comparison to historical annual growth, the figures are in effect factoring in growth beyond the six year timeframe of the County Development Plan. When the change in methodological approach is taken into consideration the actual future annual population growth for DLR is lower than the rate of historical growth experienced in the County between 2006 to 2016. In effect, based on historical growth trends, the RSES high growth scenario under provides in terms of planning for the nine year horizon. With respect to the RSES low growth scenario it is considered that application of same for the purposes of the Core Strategy could result in an imbalance in the equilibrium between the supply of zoned land required to meet housing demand and could negatively impact upon the proper planning and sustainable development of the County. On this basis, it is recommended that the RSES low growth scenario is not brought forward as an input for calculation of the DLR housing target for the Plan period. 2.3.3 Housing Delivery The Central Statistics Office (CSO) publishes dwelling completion data at County level on a quarterly basis. Figure 2.3 details annual housing completions in DLR from 2011 to 2019. There has been a significant increase in housing completion levels from that experienced during the financial and property crash with housing completion levels now averaging c. 1,200 units per annum. When housing completion figures are considered in tandem with the number of units under construction in the County, see Section 2.3.4 below, it is anticipated that the current trend in housing output will continue in the short to medium term. In a healthily performing housing market, residential output and housing completions should be planned to increase in line with population growth. Reactive rather than proactive housing delivery ultimately creates under or over supply. Looking at the most recent intercensal period between 2011 and 2016, population in DLR increased by 11,757 people while housing stock only increased by 1,066 units. While it is acknowledged that vacancy in DLR reduced by some 2,020 units over the same period, the evidence suggests a period of prolonged undersupply which has resulted in ‘pent-up’ housing demand. This under-supply is further evidenced by the increase in household size experienced in DLR between 2011 and 2016 (see Section 2.3.6.2 below). Figure 2.3 NewDwellingCompletionsinDLR,2011- 2019(Source:CSO) Figure 2.4 HousingDeliveryvPopulationGrowth 2011-2016(Source:Census2016) DLR - New Dwelling Completions Housing Stock v Population 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 130 91 208 466 295 974 1187 1284 1146DLR 1066 n Housing Stock Increase n Pop Increase 11757 25Core StrategyChapter 2
- 2.3.4 Planning and Construction Activity The Housing Supply Coordination Taskforce, established by the Department of Housing, Planning and Local Government, tracks the quantum of residential development of 10 or more units of the four Dublin Local Authorities on a quarterly basis. The data has been collated since 2016 and provides an excellent insight into planning and construction activity in the residential sector and the interrelationship between same. Figure 2.5 below illustrates the number of residential units that have the benefit of planning permission in DLR but have not commenced development and also the number of units under construction on a quarterly basis. The number of residential units that have been granted planning permission but have not commenced development has significantly increased from c. 3,500 units in Q1 2016 to over 10,000 units in Q4 2019, a near three-fold increase. This surge in planning activity was concentrated in the years 2018 and 2019. In comparison, the number of units under construction in the County has remained broadly consistent over the four year period and a proportionate increase in construction activity in line with planning activity has not yet been realised. While planning activity is a fundamental component of a healthily functioning housing market, ultimately it is the implementation of planning permissions and delivery of residential schemes that is of relevance in the context of delivering the Core Strategy. The fact that planning permission for a residential scheme has been granted does not equate to the delivery of a residential scheme, and in this context the role of the extant planning permission must be taken into consideration in the formulation of the Core Strategy. 2.3.4.1 Extant Planning Permissions As illustrated in Figure 2.5, DLR has a significant quantum of permitted residential units that have not commenced development. While this is a positive position and reflective of strong demand for housing, it is highlighted that there are very few powers available to the Planning Authority to bring about the implementation of these planning permissions or the advancement of appropriately zoned land for development purposes. The introduction of the vacant site levy under the Urban Regeneration and Housing Act 2015 (as amended) was a welcome enabling tool for the Local Authority to incentivise development, however, in practice to date, the effectiveness of the legislation has yet 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Figure 2.5: ResidentialSchemesinDLRwithPlanningPermission(Source:HousingTaskForce) Permitted Residential Schemes (No. of Units) Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 3520 3848 4089 3609 3958 3603 3820 3623 3756 5392 7338 7445 7555 9076 9854 10376 1921 1881 2003 1729 1251 1577 1570 1430 1377 1388 1332 1461 1533 1551 1797 2234 Not Commenced Under Construction 26dlrcoco | County Development Plan 2022-2028
- to be proven. The implementation of a planning permission and the delivery of units thus remains largely dependent on the market. Figure 2.6 above illustrates on a quarterly basis the number of sites in DLR that have the benefit of planning permission for residential development and also identifies the number of those sites which are/were under construction. Taking an average of the quarterly Housing Task Force (HTF) data, it is evident that less than half of sites (46%), that have the benefit of planning permission for residential development, were under construction at any given time over the four year period. The significant variation between the number of sites with planning permission, and the number of those sites which are under construction, reflects inter alia the time-lag between the grant of a planning permission and the implementation of said permission, sites that are progressed through the planning process for the purpose of re-sale with the benefit of planning permission, and also the fact that some planning permissions are never brought forward to construction stage. Based on these trends it is evident that DLR will have, on an ongoing basis, a quantum of sites that are suitable for residential development and have the benefit of planning permission, which may not be brought forward for development within the lifetime of the Plan, or which may not reach construction stage at all. While the Local Authority will endeavour to employ all means within its powers to support appropriate residential development in a timely manner, including the implementation of mechanisms such as the vacant site levy, it is considered that the Core Strategy must provide for a degree of flexibility necessitated by the housing market, given the limitations of the Local Authority to provide certainty in terms of implementation. 2.3.5 Evaluation of Housing Demand National Policy Objective 37 of the NPF requires each Local Authority to prepare a ‘Housing Need Demand Assessment’ (HNDA). A HNDA is defined in the NPF as a database to allow Local Authorities to run a number of different scenarios to inform key decisions on housing need and supply. HNDAs are designed to give broad, long term estimates as opposed to precision estimates. The RSES acknowledges that, in the case of Dublin, the HNDA may be at a metropolitan scale having regard to what they call inter-county and interregional settlement interactions and as such it is recommended that a Regional HNDA would be appropriate for the four Dublin Local Authorities. The Department of Housing, Local Government and Heritage issued Guidelines entitled “Guidance on the Preparation of a Housing Need and Demand Assessment” in April 2021. An accompanying 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Figure 2.6: NumberofActiveResidentialSchemesinDLR(Source:HousingTaskForce) Number of Active Residential Schemes in DLR Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 62 74 73 76 78 78 80 79 83 87 101 101 98 113 123 134 34 38 42 41 40 38 37 37 38 41 44 46 41 41 43 41 Sites with PP Active Sites 27Core StrategyChapter 2
- Circular expects that the new HNDAs will be integrated into reviews that commence after the date of issue of the Guidance and that other Planning Authorities may vary their Plan. Pending the preparation of a regional HNDA, DLR has prepared a Housing Strategy and HNDA (see Appendix 2) which will inform housing policy in the County. The Housing Strategy element is based on the overall population and housing land requirements set out in the Core Strategy. Policy Objective CS1 – Housing Need Demand Assessment It is a Policy Objective to accord with the Housing Strategy and Housing Needs Demand Assessment 2022—2028 and to carry out a regional HNDA post adoption of the Plan and to consider varying the Plan if required. (Consistent with NPO 37 of the NPF). 2.3.6 Housing Target for the Core Strategy 2.3.6.1 Housing Targets The Core Strategy of the previous County Development Plan, 2016-2022, was framed by housing target projections contained in the ‘Regional Planning Guidelines for the Greater Dublin Area 2010-2022’. The RSES has subsequently replaced the Regional Planning Guidelines and while the RSES includes population projections at Local Authority level, it does not however translate those population projections into housing targets. As such, it is necessary to calculate the overall housing requirements for the Plan period based on the County population projections set out in Section 2.3.2 above. Two key assumptions have been applied in order to calculate the housing target for the Plan period, namely, household size and occupancy. 2.3.6.2 Household Size An important input in the calculation of a housing target is future household size. Average household size is calculated based on the number of persons living in private households in permanent dwellings in the County. The application of household size is considered a more appropriate method in calculating the housing target in comparison to the use of occupancy rates, which was applied in the previous Regional Planning Guidelines. At European level, the average household size in the EU-27 Countries in 2019 was 2.3 persons3. In comparison, Ireland recorded an average household size of 2.75 in Census 2016, with DLR recording a broadly similar household size of c. 2.72. Despite the comparatively high average household size recorded in DLR in 2016, the long term national trend in household size is declining, see Figure 2.7, and it is anticipated that it will continue to decline in line with European trends. As set out in Section 2.3.3 above, the increase in household size recorded in DLR in 2016 could, in part, be attributed to the near stagnation in the residential construction sector following the financial and property crash, and the considerable timeframe associated with the delivery of housing subsequent to improvements in market conditions. For the purpose of calculating a housing target for the County Development Plan an average household size of 2.5 is assumed for the period up to 2028. This relates to both existing housing stock and future housing stock. While it is acknowledged that the NPF refers to an expected national household size of around 2.5 people per household by 2040, the NPF assumption comprises a nationwide amalgam and does not reflect regional differences in household size. This regional variance is reflected in the Dublin MASP which applies a household size of 2.5 in its determination of residential capacity. Broadly speaking, household size varies geographically, and this is evidenced through variance in residential unit type. For example, in 2016 the average household size for houses in DLR was 2.88, whereas the average household size for apartments/flats/bed-sits was 2.14. Given this significant variance between unit type, future housing stock comprises an important indicator of potential future household size trends. In this regard, it is noted that over 9,000 (87%) of the 10,3764 permitted residential units in DLR, which have not commenced development, comprise apartment dwellings. An average household size of 2.5 is thus applied based on two primary assumptions: new residential stock being delivered to the market primarily comprising apartments will have a lower average household size; and average household size in existing older housing stock will continue to follow a gradual downward trajectory in line with overarching national and European trends. Figure 2.7 NationalHouseholdSize(Source:CSO) National Household Size 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 3.34 3.14 2.94 2.81 2.73 2.75 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011 2016 3 Source: Household Composition Statistics (2020), Eurostat. 4 Source: Housing TaskForce Data – Q4 2019. 28dlrcoco | County Development Plan 2022-2028
- 2.3.6.3 Occupancy The quantum of households in the County comprises a subset of the entire housing stock. At any given time, the housing stock in the County will comprise both occupied and unoccupied units. The largest component of unoccupied units is those which are classified as vacant and in 2016 DLR had the third lowest vacancy rate in the State at 5.5%. For the purpose of projecting forward it is assumed that the residential occupancy rate in DLR in 2028 will remain constant with the 2016 rate. This is considered a conservative approach in the context of ongoing supply-side constraints in the housing sector. Table 2.6: DLROccupancyRate(Source:Census 2016) Year Population Housing Stock Private Households 2016 218,018 86,962 78,568 Year Persons in Private Households Household Size Private Households as a % of Housing Stock 2016 213,353 2.72 90.3% 2.3.6.4 Housing Target for the Core Strategy Table 2.7 details the housing target for the Core Strategy up to Q1 2028. Based on the high growth scenario of the RSES there is a requirement for an additional 18,515 residential units. The housing target is informed by and aligned with the population projections provided for in the RSES and is calculated based on the assumptions detailed above. Table 2.7: CoreStrategyHousingTarget 2016 Q1 2028 – RSES High Growth Scenario Population 218,000 256,125 Increase in Population N/A 38,125 Total Housing Stock 86,962 110,969 Housing Target (2016 - Q1 2028) N/A 24,007 Minus CSO Housing Completions (2017 – Q1 2021) + Estimated Completions (Q2 2021 – Q1 2022) N/A 5,492 Housing Target (Q2 2022 - Q1 2028) N/A 18,515 2.3.6.5 Housing Supply Target Methodology for Development Planning The Section 28 Guidelines ‘Housing Supply Target Methodology for Development Planning’ (2020) (HST Guidelines) are intended to assist in providing the required consistent and coherent approach to be taken by Planning Authorities in incorporating national and regional population and housing projections into their statutory functions. They are intended to assist Planning Authorities in appropriately integrating the strategic national and regional population parameters into their statutory planning processes, such as the preparation of the Development Plan and the preparation of the Housing Strategy, informed by the Housing Need and Demand Assessment process. In accordance with National Policy Objective 37 of the NPF, the Planning Authority is required to undertake a Housing Need Demand Assessment as part of its Housing Strategy. This is a new feature of the planning system that will need a consistent population and housing demand basis from which to effectively estimate the housing needs of the Local Authority. The HST Guidelines include a methodology to bridge the strategic national and regional population projections (contained within the NPF and RSES) to the Housing Need Demand Assessment. Table 2.8 below sets out the methodology contained in the HST Guidelines as applicable to DLR and calculates household demand for the County pertaining to the 6-Year County Development Plan cycle only. The household demand figure provided in Table 2.8 will inform the preparation of a HNDA to be prepared in conjunction with the other Dublin Local Authorities. 29Core StrategyChapter 2
- Table 2.8: HSTGuidelines-DLRHouseholdDemand Dún Laoghaire- Rathdown Annual Average Households Total Households A ESRI NPF scenario projected new household demand 2017 to Q1 2028 1798 (20223/11.25) 20223 B CSO dwelling completions Q1 2017 to Q1 2021 + Estimated completions Q2 2021 to Q1 2022 1046 (4554+938/5.25) 5492 C Homeless households (latest data), and unmet demand as at most recent Census N/A 494 D Plan Housing Demand = Total (A-B+C) ((Projected ESRI NPF demand - new completions) + Unmet demand) 2538 (15225/6) 15,225 ((20223 - 5492) + 494) E Potential adjustment 1 to end 2026 portion of plan period to facilitate convergence to NPF strategy (where justified) Mid-point between ESRI NPF and baseline scenarios to 2026 in lieu of A above. Not Applicable F Potential adjustment 2 to end 2026 portion of plan period to facilitate convergence to NPF strategy, applicable where B exceeds or is close to D (where justified) Mid-point between ESRI NPF and baseline scenarios to 2026 in lieu of A above, plus up to 25% Not Applicable 2.3.7 Residential Development Capacity Audit A ‘Residential Development Capacity Audit’ was undertaken in order to inform the preparation of the Core Strategy and to meet the statutory requirement to assess existing zoned land, as required under Section 10(2A)(c) of The Act. The purpose of the audit was to analyse the existing capacity of the County to accommodate residential development and provide the basis upon which the future housing target may be allocated. In general terms, too much or too little capacity to meet future population growth would inform the requirement to adjust zoning provision. The audit comprised a comprehensive review of all zoned residential and mixed-use land in the County. In order to support the compact growth agenda, a significant emphasis was placed on the identification of potential infill/ brownfield sites for regeneration/redevelopment. 2.3.7.1 Potential Residential Yield The Residential Development Capacity Audit estimated that at Q4 2019 there were approximately 553 hectares of zoned land in the County which is, or may become available, for residential development. This comprises a reduction of c. 90 hectares from the housing land availability audit which informed the 2016 County Development Plan. The zoned land equates to a potential yield of between 22,763 and 25,353 residential units. When actual and estimated completions for the period Q1 2020 to Q1 2022 are taken into consideration it is estimated that there is a potential residential yield of between c. 20,886 to 23,476 homes. The Cherrywood Strategic Development Zone comprises a significant proportion of this total with an estimated residential yield of between 5,596 to 8,186 units. A number of assumptions were applied at a site specific level in order to provide a robust estimation of potential residential yield. Where applicable, residential density and capacity calculations already set out in existing statutory plans were applied. These densities are either consistent with or exceed the recommended residential densities in the Sustainable Residential Development in Urban Areas Guidelines for Planning Authorities (2009). Outside of these plan areas potential residential yield was also calculated having regard to the residential densities recommended in the ‘Sustainable Residential Development in Urban Areas’ (2009), with consideration given to sites that would be more suited to higher residential density. The category of infill/windfall comprises a broad mix of sites within the existing built-up footprint of the County and includes both sites which are under construction and sites where there is no construction activity. For sites which have commenced construction, the full residual residential yield of the associated planning permission is incorporated. The audit placed a significant focus in the infill/windfall category on brownfield and infill development to deliver compact growth and includes a number of sites which are currently in existing use but have potential for redevelopment for residential purposes. In order to provide for a balance between the inclusion of suitable infill and brownfield sites that promote compact growth, but which may not come forward for development within the lifetime of the Plan, and to ensure that sufficient lands are zoned to allow for overall projected growth, the residential yield for the category infill/windfall is calculated based on an assumption that half 30dlrcoco | County Development Plan 2022-2028
- of the total site area (for sites where there is no construction activity) would be brought forward for development within the lifetime of the Plan. Table 2.9 provides a detailed breakdown of residential yield categorised by infill/windfall sites and strategic growth areas. 2.3.7.2 Tiered Approach to Land Zoning The Residential Development Capacity Audit was undertaken in the context of National Policy Objective 72a of the NPF which requires Planning Authorities to apply a standardised, tiered approach to differentiate between i) zoned land that is serviced and ii) zoned land that is serviceable within the life of the Plan. M Tier 1 lands are serviced, and in general, part of or contiguous to the built-up footprint of an area. M Tier 2 lands are not currently sufficiently serviced to support new development but have potential to become fully serviced within the lifetime of the Plan. Tier 2 lands may be positioned within the existing built-up footprint, or contiguous to existing developed lands, or to Tier 1 zoned lands. M While the County Development Plan may include zoned land which cannot be serviced during the lifetime of the Plan, they cannot be categorised as either Tier 1 or Tier 2 lands. Such lands cannot be zoned for development or included within the Core Strategy for calculation purposes. The high level zoning tier of each strategic growth area in the County is set out in Table 2.9 below. The detailed assessment of strategic enabling infrastructure requirements for Tier 2 lands across the County is provided in Appendix 1. While the NPF tiered approach to zoning does not focus on community infrastructure, the provision of same is considered to be of central importance in the creation of sustainable neighbourhoods in the County and is covered in detail in Chapter 4 ‘Neighbourhood - People, Homes and Place’. Table 2.9: DLRResidentialDevelopmentCapacityAudit–AggregateData(AccurateasofQ42019) Location Hectares Potential Residential Yield Zoning Tier Infill/Windfall – Sites under Construction 35.63 1,8375 Tier 1 Infill/Windfall – Sites with an extant planning permission not commenced 63.1 1,299 Tier 1 Infill/Windfall – Sites with no planning permission 67.13 1,436 Tier 1 and Tier 2 Infill/Windfall - Total 165.86 4,571 Tier 1 and Tier 2 Ballyogan & Environs 71.8 4,147 Tier 1 and Tier 2 Woodbrook- Shanganagh 29.53 1,998 Tier 1 and Tier 2 Kiltiernan-Glenamuck 59.34 2,015 Tier 1 and Tier 2 Old Connaught 50.13 2,005 Tier 2 Rathmichael 83.05 2,431 Tier 2 Cherrywood 93.55 5,596 - 8,186 Tier 1 and Tier 2 Total 553.28 22,763 - 25,353 Less Actual and Estimated Completions Q1 2020 to Q1 2022 1,877 Adjusted Total 20,886 – 23,476 5 Note: The category ‘Infill/Windfall’ incorporates both sites which are under construction and sites where there is no construction activity. For sites which have commenced construction, the full residual residential yield of the associated planning permission is incorporated. For sites where no construction has commenced, it is assumed that half of the total area of these sites would be brought forward for development within the lifetime of the Plan. (See Section 2.3.7.1 above) 31Core StrategyChapter 2
- Figure 2.8: ResidentialDevelopmentCapacityAudit–AggregateData(AccurateasofQ42019) 32dlrcoco | County Development Plan 2022-2028
Source Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown County Council: Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown County Development Plan 2022–2028 – Written Statement (2022–2028) · Licence the publisher's termsText read from the publisher’s PDF; tables, maps and drawings do not survive as text, and page numbers are the PDF’s (its first page is 1). Check the original before relying on a passage.